How It Works Approach Who It's For Roadmap The Challenge Work With Us Contact
Orbital Risk · Sustainability · Intelligence · Valuation Analytics

When should a
satellite leave orbit?

ORSIVA answers that question.
5yr
New regulatory
disposal mandate
~60%
PMD compliance
rate today
$50M+
Industry baseline
collision exposure
1
ORSIVA Score —
one clear verdict

An end-of-life decision engine for satellite operators. ORSIVA turns orbital risk and regulation into the optimal disposal decision — then shows you the economics of the timing and the human bias pulling against it.

The Challenge

End-of-life is a decision, not a checkbox

Operators have tracking and conjunction alerts. What they lack is a structured way to decide when a satellite should leave orbit — weighing remaining value against rising risk and a hard regulatory deadline.

It is an optimal-stopping problem with money on both sides: deorbit too early and you lose revenue; too late and you face breach, collision risk, liability and debris. And the people making the call are predictably biased toward delay.

I
Engineering
Monitors fuel and subsystem health — but ignores economic value and regulatory timing constraints.
II
Compliance
Tracks static rules (25-year, now 5-year) without dynamic, stochastic risk — and the rules keep changing.
III
Finance & the human
Models depreciation but lacks orbital context — and ignores the behavioural biases that delay the right call.
Result: disconnected silos, no unified model, biased timing — and compounding liability.
Technical Brief
How It Works

One question.
One clear answer.

Point ORSIVA at a satellite. It weighs the risk, the economics and the human judgement, and returns a single verdict you can act on — and defend.

72
/ 100
ORSIVA Score
Sample asset · LEO
Decision
Initiate disposalHigh risk · regulatory deadline approaching
Economics
Act within ~1 monthValue-at-risk $1.6M · delaying costs more than acting
The human
Delay bias detected“The data says act now” — framed to overcome hesitation

Every verdict is logged and audit-ready for regulators, insurers and operators. ORSIVA recommends — the operator always decides.

Approach

The decision layer for a satellite's final orbit.

ORSIVA tells operators when a satellite should leave orbit, what the timing is worth, and how to act on it — one clear, defensible verdict per asset.

01
Decide
A scored, explainable recommendation on exactly when to act.
02
Quantify
The economics of the timing — the optimal moment, and the value at stake.
03
Act
Recommendations framed, through decision science, to be acted on with confidence.
The ORSIVA Score
One 0–100 verdict — per satellite, per fleet.
Always current
Regulation worldwide, tracked and kept up to date automatically.
Sustainable by design
Every verdict values a cleaner orbit.
Built For

Decision intelligence the whole orbital economy can trust.

For
Operators
Optimal end-of-life timing
Reduced liability exposure
Audit-ready decision trail
For
Regulators
Transparent compliance evidence
Standardised reporting
Machine-readable audit logs
For
Insurers
Quantified disposal risk bands
Actuarial-grade inputs
Expected loss per satellite
For
Investors
Sustainability infrastructure
ESG-aligned governance tooling
Regulatory-tailwind exposure
Development Roadmap

What comes next

I
Working Engine
Live now
The full decision engine is operational — risk, economics, behaviour and the ORSIVA Score — plus an AI regulatory-intelligence engine and audit-ready outputs for regulators, insurers and operators.
II
Live Data & First Pilots
Q3 2026
Live ingestion from CelesTrak and Space-Track, and the first design-partner pilots — ORSIVA run on real fleets in shadow mode, alongside existing processes, delivering a clear verdict per asset.
III
Dashboard & Integration
2027
An operator dashboard surfacing the decision, economics and behaviour per asset, plus API-first integration with operator telemetry and the enterprise org/tenant model.
IV
Standardisation
Ongoing
Working with agencies and insurers toward standardised end-of-life reporting and a cross-operator coordination layer.
Work With Us

Help us build the decision layer for orbit.

ORSIVA's engine is live — and we're now choosing a small group of partners and collaborators to shape it against real fleets, real regulation and real decisions. If end-of-life is a problem you live with, or a field you study, we want to build it with you. We move fast, share credit, and treat every partner as a co-author of the standard we're trying to set.

01
Design & Pilot Partners
Operators who'll run ORSIVA against their own fleet and steer the roadmap. Early partners get direct influence over the product and preferential terms.
02
Research Collaborators
Decision scientists, neuroeconomists and space-domain researchers to co-develop the behavioural models at the core of how ORSIVA decides.
03
Advisors & Mentors
Operators, regulators and decision-science experts willing to lend judgement and open doors as we shape the first version — high-trust advisory roles, recognised in equity, with real influence on direction.
04
Regulators & Insurers
Bodies shaping end-of-life standards and pricing disposal risk — partner with us to make ORSIVA's outputs audit-ready and actuarial-grade from the start.
Start a conversation
Contact

Ready to make the right call on orbit?

We work with operators, regulators and insurers. If you operate in LEO, we want to hear from you.

Email
contact@orsiva.space
Web
orsiva.space
Schedule a Call
30-min introduction
Download Technical Brief
Request a Demo

See ORSIVA
in action.

Tell us about your operation. We'll prepare a tailored demonstration of ORSIVA applied to your satellite fleet and orbital context — decision, economics and the ORSIVA Score.

ORSIVA is a decision-intelligence layer — all outputs are recommendations only. Final operational authority remains with the satellite operator. Your information will be used solely to prepare your demonstration.
We respond within one business day.
✓

Request received.

Thank you. We'll review your details and reach out within one business day to arrange your ORSIVA demonstration.